Monday, September 21, 2015

China and the new normal noise before the US election XI Jinping to grasp the

XI's visit is not avoidance of deeper problems in the long-term development of Sino-US relations on the nettle, showed the country style.

On September 22, President XI Jinping of China to the United States launched a landmark State visit, while the United States has entered the political scene in 2016 United States presidential election run-up. China issues rose in the past few weeks as candidates compete to hype the campaign focus of both parties, especially in the more extreme comments one after another in the Republican camp. Donald Trump has attacked the Obama administration reception, claiming to please China's leaders eat McDonald's ravings of just fell, Scott Walker, blatantly asking Obama to show the so-called "backbone", cancel invitations.

As a State Governor, Walker's rude comments only for the candidates for United States politicians to shame. And hoping to take power save polling decline, China made all the difference is Walker to spare no effort in promoting economic and trade cooperation with China in the past on the. According to media reports in April 2013, Walker and his wife, leading a 30-Member high profile Wisconsin business delegation to visit China. In order to sell specialty Wisconsin ginseng, he visited in Beijing Tong ren Tang, in order to promote the mechanism of Chinese trade, he was in Shanghai to attend a ribbon-cutting ceremony of the China Center of Wisconsin; Iowa Governor Terry E. Branstad's referral, Walker also got his interview. Hard to imagine that such a diligent "salesman" Governor ignores the State interest to face erratic and in Foreign Affairs. Walker's words and actions inconsistent only to state a fact: the United States political figures are concerned, hype, no costs whatsoever for China.

No cost, the first explanation is that a negative smear the image of China in the United States in the eyes of people see everyday, but there is a certain identity. According to the latest Pew bodies in September's figures, as of spring of 2015, 54% of the United States General respondents hold negative views on China, positive views of only 38%. This set of figures in the Republican respondents is worse 63% than 27%. In the United States among people worried about Sino-US issues, holdings United States debt by the 67% of respondents identified extremely serious, which ranks.

What's interesting is, in more than 5 months ago China back to the United States's largest creditor position of Japan in the United States people are enjoying a distinct friendly evaluation. According to public opinion research between China and the United States scholar Ge Xiaowei (Peter h. Gries) 2011 research, United States public attitude to the County, "" temperature is 35 degrees, to China's Taiwan is 49 degrees, Korea is 50 degrees, while Japan is 60 degrees. Promulgated in April this year, according to the Pew data, United States respondents only 30% trust in China, which Japan is 68%. United States popular in China and Japan, we found the fully mapped out in the choice of power game between potential adversaries and allies. But a deeper look, left scars of war with Japan friendly and does not trust China, all for ideological values on the "other" prejudice, China also is thrown into the "politically correct" zone.

If Walker's comments to cater to public prejudices, in the establishment of free and pluralistic country there will be no other groups make different sounds? On the China issue is, of course, ethnic Chinese have the final word, the logic seems to have with Jews about long-term United States policy in the Middle East. But today's reality is that Jews can complain at least protest even aobamali pushing the Iran nuclear deal, but ethnic Chinese but disunity on the policy toward China.

Occupied 2.6% Jewish involvement in the American population policy at the elite level of closely related to distribution, although smaller Chinese education and the beginning of class on the comparative advantages, but concern and participation in political affairs tend to be indifferent. At least from elected officials on the federal level and State level observations, the cumulative number of Chinese members of Congress as a 2-bit and 6-bit, of Japanese descent, but were 4-and 12-bit; United States has so far only Gary Locke, a Chinese-American Governor, but the India-born Governor has two. And Chinese-occupied United States population compared to the level of 1.2%, Japanese-and India-American there is only 0.4% and 1%.

Of course, even ethnic Chinese groups showed high political enthusiasm, its attitude toward China is not necessarily clear-cut. Growing from ethnic dimension, United States-Chinese one after another in 1860, 1960 and 1990 usher growth peak. In other words, the Chinese-American groups in the United States constituted like sedimentary rock, the echoes of history doomed their different "the nostalgic feelling in" suck more of years shaped their views on mainland China differences. United States political figures denounced the Chinese mainland, general reaction is likely to be ethnic Chinese population there, much less able to come back.

So, has long been regarded as Sino-US relations, "Ballast" and "pump" effect of economic and trade links are lost now? Bilateral trade across the Pacific is, after all, the interests of real gold and silver, are not sufficient to drive public opinion formation on United States politicians ' pressure? For now, while the most realistic on this dimension, but the situation is still unsatisfactory.

To promote economic and trade exchanges of the National Committee on us-China trade in recent years, the continuing publication of the annual United States exports to China, the data, the data is the mainstream media as an important index to verify that the strong trend of Sino-US economic and trade relations. According to the latest figures, United States exports to China increased by 198% in the past decade. Second only to the North American free trade area covering Canada, Mexico the two neighbouring countries, China jumped to United States's third largest exporter, although the total of US $ 120.8 billion probably only second in Mexico's top one-second.

However, actually directly profit from exports to China are United States companies, general public has little chance to immediate benefit of the somatosensory and exports to China's large enterprises can not be endorsed in China, even if they would normally not be to tarnish the image of China's political contributions led China to cancel contracts in retaliation. What's more, transportation equipment, computer electronic equipment top of United States exports to China, the industry itself also holds a great competitive advantage.

Another set of data may be more political influence in close proximity, and US-China relations National Committee and Rong Ding consulting firm in May this year, jointly published a very thoughtful report, entitled ' new neighbors: China United States investment in each congressional district. The reported statistical dimensions down to the constituency in the House of Congress, is clear that is the representative of Chinese investment could save you want to measure political influence. According to the report, Chinese investment has been in 44 States across the United States, but its scope is obviously stronger than depth.

Select create jobs that can make people feel directly that the practical benefits of indicators to measure, the largest number for the seventh Congressional District of North Carolina 7,640 jobs, while the deep South constituency of North Carolina's population up to 746,000 people. Projections, due to Chinese investments and employment of the population in his district is about 1.02%, even into such employment may spread to family members, the Chinese can benefit the most optimistic public opinion scale to more than 5%. This low proportion of potential pressure of public opinion, of significance in a traditionally conservative constituency may be minimal. Even in last year's elections the Republican candidate daiwei·laoze (David Rouzer) ended the moderate democratic party control of the constituency for more than a century, which is rocking the party politics of the dust has settled, and the potential mobilization of 1% or 5% is not nothing. Is also because Chinese without the pressure of public opinion, of MTV, Landi·fubusi (Randy Forbes) IV of the Virginia District was also ranked number of job creation ranks fourth, the co-Chair of the China connection claims China tough, getting involved in the Affairs of outright military hawks.

Stick to the ideology of bias thinking, separated and conflicting Chinese groups and the lack of effective economic and trade achievements translate into political pressure and allowed the United States political figures in Chinese Affairs, unbridled. From the medium and long term, to respond effectively to them, in order to get their hands on China issues increase the cost of the necessary political, can really provide a solid foundation of Sino-US relations.

From an ideological perspective, the past 30 years successful experience in reform and opening, China attracted worldwide attention, and adhere to the peaceful development of market economy and the determination will not be shaken. Though different in systems and road in the West, but of course, the rapid development of China would comply with international law and order, and more to the world offers a wide range of public goods and income. These expectations for national development and international position, also the Chinese President's visit to America to communicate to United States politicians and the public "increasing doubts" a positive signal.

Chinese-American groups, a stable and healthy development of the Sino-US relationship is obviously on the well-being of the Group's largest, also determines the population rise in social status in the United States. Chinese consulates need continued through more effective community services liaison, integrating all the potential Chinese public opinion, promote Sino-US relations and outspoken "positive energy". During this visit to the United States and participated in the United Nations General Assembly, XI Jinping will be across the ocean to spend the Festival, given to all overseas Chinese in the United States from the nation's thoughts and expectations.

Conversion to political influence on trade practices, development depends on the maturity of Sino-US economic and trade cooperation. For investment of China's enterprises in the United States, in addition to outside profitable markets, technologies, you want to expand, but also to focus on United States domestic operations, United States local communities, who shared a "cake", or even meeting for United States domestic industry an important part of the chain. Only this "embedded" instead of "intrusive" type of investment can be really long, will also eventually forming positive public opinion demands of a certain size to China. XI Jinping is looking forward to this visit on "bilateral investment agreements", "surprise", it is in the key to create a favorable environment for bilateral economic and trade development breakthrough.

As a distance United States election cycle's last State visit, the Chinese President's visit could face some negative campaigning and political cause noise, but this does not shy away from deeper problems in the long-term development of Sino-US relations on the difficulties of underlines take concrete actions to enrich the connotation of the new type of relations between China and country style. In contrast, the competition to be the next United States presidential candidates from both parties should stop grandstanding, level and responsible discussion about the common interests of both countries, China-US relations, or where there is power to speak of it again? Shanghai Federation of trade unions the codes

(The author for the Chinese Academy of social sciences United States Assistant researcher at the Institute)

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